Solar Payback Calculator — Time to Break Even
Inputs
Assumptions (optional)
Awareness-level estimator. Real bills and incentives vary by utility, tariff, and policy. Edit inputs to match your context.
Results
How This Solar Payback Calculator Works (and What the Numbers Mean)
This tool estimates how long it takes a solar PV system to “pay for itself” in bill savings and export income. It starts from your net upfront cost (system price minus incentives), then projects year-by-year cash flows based on annual kWh, your self-consumption rate, the retail price you avoid paying for self-used energy, and the export price you receive for surplus sent to the grid. Optional assumptions let you reflect real-world details: panel degradation (slightly lowers kWh each year), electricity price inflation (raises the value of savings), O&M costs, inverter replacement, and a discount rate to compute NPV and discounted payback.
Cash Flow Basics
Each year’s savings are split: Self-consumed kWh × retail price plus exported kWh × export price. If you self-consume 50% of generation, half your kWh offset your retail rate and the rest earn the export rate. The calculator tracks cumulative cash flow and reports the first year when cumulative cash flow turns positive (simple payback). If you set a discount rate, it also shows discounted payback, NPV, and IRR over the analysis period.
What to Adjust
- Self-consumption: Higher self-use typically shortens payback when retail prices exceed export tariffs.
- Export price: Tariffs vary widely. Use your local rate for realism.
- Degradation & inflation: Small yearly changes compound over time; tweak to test sensitivity.
- Costs: Add O&M and a one-off inverter replacement if applicable to your system.
Note: This is a planning tool, not financial advice. Policies and tariffs change; always confirm details with your installer or utility.