Friendly estimates for planning and awareness. Private by design — runs locally in your browser.
Understand Your Solar Potential: How We Estimate kWh/Day and Savings
This solar panel output calculator gives you a clear, non-technical estimate of how much electricity a rooftop or ground-mount array could produce and how that translates into bill savings, export income, and payback. The model is intentionally transparent. It uses a small set of inputs—location (latitude), tilt, azimuth, and array size—to estimate kWh per day, monthly and yearly totals, then applies your electricity price, export tariff, self-consumption, system cost, incentives, and degradation assumptions. If you do not know your system size yet, use the reverse calculator to estimate how many panels you need for a daily target or household offset.
Peak Sun Hours (PSH): the core idea
Peak Sun Hours (kWh/m²/day) compresses a day’s varying sunlight into an equivalent number of “full-sun hours.” For example, 4.5 PSH means your panels receive the same energy as 4.5 hours at 1,000 W/m². The tool auto-estimates PSH from latitude for an annual average, which is great for planning and education. If you have a site-specific value from a solar resource map or past system data, switch to manual PSH and paste it in for a more tailored result.
Tilt & Azimuth: why direction matters
Orientation affects how much of that sunlight lands on the panels over the year. A helpful rule of thumb is optimal tilt ≈ |latitude|. In the Northern Hemisphere, arrays produce the most when they face South (North in the Southern Hemisphere). The calculator combines tilt and azimuth into a single orientation factor using a smooth, cosine-based penalty, so non-perfect roofs don’t get “punished” unrealistically. You’ll see this factor reported so you understand exactly how it influenced your result.
Array size: two simple ways to specify it
- Area & efficiency: DC size ≈ area (m²) × module efficiency × 1 kW/m² at STC. For instance, 20 m² at 20% ≈ 4.0 kW DC.
- Panels & wattage: DC size ≈ number of panels × panel nameplate wattage.
Either path resolves to a DC kW rating that the calculator uses to estimate energy.
How many solar panels do I need?
The reverse sizing mode starts with a target instead of a system size. Choose 10, 20, 30, or custom kWh/day, or size around your annual electricity use and target offset. The calculator estimates the required kW, number of panels, roof area, and expected kWh/day and kWh/year using your PSH, roof orientation, panel wattage, efficiency, losses, and shading assumptions.
Monthly output and seasonality
Daily and yearly averages are useful, but real solar output changes through the year. Use annual average mode for a simple month-by-month breakdown, seasonal estimate mode for a lightweight privacy-friendly curve, or monthly PSH override mode if you have local solar-resource values. The results table highlights each month, plus the best month, worst month, and summer-versus-winter difference.
Losses & shading: reality checks
Real systems don’t convert every photon into AC power. Heat, wiring, mismatch, inverter efficiency, soiling, and other practical effects reduce energy. We group these as system losses (a default 14% is typical for many modern installations). You can also add a separate shading percentage for trees, chimneys, or seasonal obstacles. The tool multiplies everything together:
kWh/day ≈ PSH × Orientation factor × DC size × (1 − losses) × (1 − shading)
From kWh to savings
To translate energy into money, set your local price per kWh, self-consumption percentage, and export or feed-in tariff. The calculator splits generation into self-consumed and exported energy, then reports bill savings, export income, total annual value, net system cost, simple payback, and long-term gross and net value.
What this tool is—and isn’t
- Great for: early feasibility, classroom demos, homeowner curiosity, and quick comparisons between roof orientations or array sizes.
- Not a final design: precise engineering should include detailed irradiance datasets, module temperature models, inverter clipping, row spacing (for ground mount), and local code considerations.
Use this calculator to understand the main levers—PSH, orientation, size, and losses—and to build intuition about how each one moves your kWh/day and potential savings. When you’re ready for a proposal, bring these numbers (and your manual PSH) to an installer for a site-specific design.
FAQs
What’s a good tilt?
For annual energy, “optimal tilt” is roughly your latitude. The tool downweights output as you move away from optimal tilt or rotate away from South/North.
How reliable is the auto PSH?
It’s a coarse average from latitude bands. For proposals, use a site-specific value (e.g., PV map or utility data).
Can I calculate how many panels I need?
Yes. Use the target sizing section to enter a daily kWh goal, or annual electricity use and a target offset. The tool estimates system kW, panel count, roof area, and expected annual output.
Can I enter monthly solar data?
Yes. Monthly output can use the annual average, a seasonal estimate, or manual monthly PSH values for January through December.
Does this include batteries or export tariffs?
It includes export or feed-in tariff value, but not battery storage dispatch. Battery economics depend on local tariffs, load timing, usable capacity, and backup requirements.